Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc294240599e30d41d6d541f4d6ca95e83ec84992fdc9c1182cf370dfe098e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 6,910$4,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 28c | 3,540$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 2,653$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 31c | 2,349$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.34 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 34c | 2,286$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 843.86$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 28c | 801.92$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.15 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 671.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 29c | 517.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 67c | 443.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 407.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.05 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 72c | 397.25$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 69c | 214.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 69c | 209$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 199.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Over | 28c | 195.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 185.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…a0f2backed Over | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 71c | 165.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…076abacked Over | 8c | 163$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 142.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 72c | 113.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 99.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 80.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 34c | 72.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 68.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 69c | 56.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 78c | 44.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 41.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 72c | 27.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 77c | 26.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 75c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 71c | 18.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 69c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 73c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Japan: O/U 3.5this page
- England vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.