TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x058f…68b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.51
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.21
Valorant: Polar Squad Esports GC vs Olimpo Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Playoffsbacked Olimpo Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Valorant: Gods Reign vs Asterisk (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stagebacked Asterisk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1backed Crest Gaming Zst · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$72.97
Valorant: QoR vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Azure Dragon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.19
Valorant: Tezcat Gaming vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RMD Gaming vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$40.56
LoL: Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
LoL: G2 NORD vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.28
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+125.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.93
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$52.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.