Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls Colonels vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6354ae965e15d3ee458bf746975f374f4569bfc2fa7bdcd95b6e18d4efaa29e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Colonelsof Nicholls Colonels, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1b9…d795backed Nicholls Colonels | 63c | 9,590$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,590.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 7,143$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.11 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern State Demons | 31c | 5,799$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern State Demons | 34c | 3,710$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.66 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 3,432$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 2,906$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.92 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Northwestern State Demons | 20c | 1,787$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 72c | 1,534$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 1,300$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nicholls Colonels | 71c | 1,253$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 1,229$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 1,020$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.92 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicholls Colonels | 71c | 994.49$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 801.71$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.88 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northwestern State Demons | 21c | 670$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 658.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 650.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 17c | 599.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 547.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nicholls Colonels | 69c | 480.82$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 451.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Northwestern State Demons | 31c | 391.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Nicholls Colonels | 52c | 385.19$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern State Demons | 36c | 379.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 299.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Northwestern State Demons | 44c | 279.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 261.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Nicholls Colonels | 66c | 228.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Northwestern State Demons | 45c | 220.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 50c | 200.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern State Demons | 47c | 198$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Northwestern State Demons | 32c | 197.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 196.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 189.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Nicholls Colonels | 39c | 132.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Northwestern State Demons | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicholls Colonels | 58c | 121.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Northwestern State Demons | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Northwestern State Demons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nicholls Colonels | 78c | 95.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Northwestern State Demons | 48c | 94.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Nicholls Colonels | 52c | 93.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nicholls Colonels | 50c | 90.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Northwestern State Demons | 48c | 82.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nicholls Colonels | 56c | 40.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Nicholls Colonels | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northwestern State Demons | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Northwestern State Demons | 46c | 27.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…1dd8backed Nicholls Colonels | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…c705backed Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…cfb4backed Nicholls Colonels | 53c | 18.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 75c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nicholls Colonels | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Northwestern State Demonsthis page
- Nicholls Colonels vs. Northwestern State Demons: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-1.5)Nicholls Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.