Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte 49ers vs. Wichita State Shockers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2faf7730ed8ee269b61ef99c1711ee753cff6eca9d77787eb7492974af76258a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof Charlotte 49ers, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 3,244$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.87 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Charlotte 49ers | 17c | 2,996$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 2,501$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.21 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlotte 49ers | 15c | 1,180$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 78c | 1,093$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Charlotte 49ers | 24c | 745.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Charlotte 49ers | 16c | 340.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Charlotte 49ers | 18c | 268.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wichita State Shockers | 75c | 223.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Charlotte 49ers | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Charlotte 49ers | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Charlotte 49ers | 15c | 72.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 22c | 68.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Charlotte 49ers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Charlotte 49ers | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…f396backed Wichita State Shockers | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Wichita State Shockers | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Wichita State Shockers | 80c | 14.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.