Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa182ca17b54928e26be1af448aca80d686e990eb83a00e083d1e30ee36dc5b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crest Gaming Zstof Crest Gaming Zst, Fennel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Crest Gaming Zst | 41c | 1,700$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.5 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Fennel | 63c | 742.81$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.13 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 71c | 629.73$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Crest Gaming Zst | 40c | 593.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.86 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Crest Gaming Zst | 41c | 540$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Fennel | 58c | 540$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e1d4backed Fennel | 57c | 494.18$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Fennel | 62c | 441.66$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed Crest Gaming Zst | 42c | 415$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Fennel | 57c | 415$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 34c | 396.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Fennel | 58c | 394.58$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Crest Gaming Zst | 39c | 385.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 41c | 377.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Fennel | 58c | 354.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Fennel | 58c | 338.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Fennel | 56c | 321.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Fennel | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…1b0fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Fennel | 58c | 285$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Fennel | 59c | 244$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1cf9backed Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Crest Gaming Zst | 48c | 172.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Fennel | 61c | 160.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Fennel | 70c | 142.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 44c | 130.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 46c | 116.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Crest Gaming Zst | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fennel | 60c | 111.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 109$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…6204backed Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Fennel | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fennel | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Fennel | 58c | 95.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…3a4bbacked Fennel | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Fennel | 62c | 85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 84.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fennel | 59c | 78.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Crest Gaming Zst | 38c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Crest Gaming Zst | 21c | 65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Fennel | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 28c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Crest Gaming Zst | 40c | 45.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crest Gaming Zst | 42c | 44.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Fennel | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Fennel | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…9782backed Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fennel | 61c | 30.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Crest Gaming Zst | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed Crest Gaming Zst | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Crest Gaming Zst | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…8b9bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 44c | 26.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Fennel | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…e9bfbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 24.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Fennel | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Crest Gaming Zst | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…3c25backed Fennel | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fennel | 62c | 17.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1this page
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Fennel - Map 2 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.