Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Polar Squad Esports GC vs Olimpo Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92fd20cdae554ab03aacfb83db3a2853aee007eb45d4ddabdd542f6d25df91f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpo Goldof Polar Squad Esports GC, Olimpo Gold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Olimpo Gold | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Olimpo Gold | 44c | 1,199$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.54 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 787.42$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Olimpo Gold | 45c | 673.08$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.32 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 601.27$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 523.81$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…4fa6backed Olimpo Gold | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…6311backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Olimpo Gold | 43c | 262.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 57c | 206.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olimpo Gold | 43c | 204.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 58c | 202.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Olimpo Gold | 45c | 198.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 168.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 160.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olimpo Gold | 42c | 150.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 57c | 146.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 118.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 54c | 109.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 57c | 90.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 55c | 78.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Olimpo Gold | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Olimpo Gold | 43c | 49.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Olimpo Gold | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 55c | 39.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 58c | 38.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Polar Squad Esports GC | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e1…02bfbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 63c | 28.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 55c | 24.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Polar Squad Esports GC | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.