Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gods Reign vs Asterisk (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f93a42a9498e58d7fa4e0b864afe2e35e7f455cbca3b8824db36cd6b9dc405a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asteriskof Gods Reign, Asterisk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Asterisk | 48c | 909.85$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.12 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Gods Reign | 52c | 779.16$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Gods Reign | 47c | 602$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.03 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Asterisk | 53c | 564.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Asterisk | 51c | 490.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Asterisk | 50c | 473.49$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Gods Reign | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Gods Reign | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Asterisk | 51c | 208.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gods Reign | 49c | 189.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Gods Reign | 52c | 155$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Asterisk | 52c | 135.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Gods Reign | 46c | 119.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Asterisk | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Asterisk | 31c | 108.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Gods Reign | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Gods Reign | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Gods Reign | 49c | 63.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gods Reign | 69c | 55.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Gods Reign | 47c | 45.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Gods Reign | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Gods Reign | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…4453backed Asterisk | 42c | 40.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Gods Reign | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Gods Reign | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Asterisk | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Gods Reign | 47c | 36.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Gods Reign | 47c | 32.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Gods Reign | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Gods Reign | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Asterisk | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.