Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19b608fcd886902ded2d0ce539d2c2d53cf1d56d7fa20736fc288fc486cab2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico State Aggiesof New Mexico State Aggies, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 16,855$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,764.64 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 14,403$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.67 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 8,639$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 6,273$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 22c | 2,546$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.71 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 2,053$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.32 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 1,448$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 1,411$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 34c | 1,009$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed New Mexico State Aggies | 60c | 739.75$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.58 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 41c | 459.24$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 426$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 18c | 422.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed New Mexico State Aggies | 56c | 400.11$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 388.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 384.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 8c | 351.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies | 57c | 348.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 20c | 329$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 30c | 323$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 291.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 17c | 276.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 69c | 246.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 79c | 245.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New Mexico State Aggies | 68c | 220.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 38c | 184.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 47c | 159.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 140.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 136$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 44c | 119.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 106.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 50c | 98.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 86.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed New Mexico State Aggies | 51c | 61.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed New Mexico State Aggies | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 59.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Mexico State Aggies | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed New Mexico State Aggies | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 43.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed New Mexico State Aggies | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 50c | 37.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed New Mexico State Aggies | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 21.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.