NHL · resolved market
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Faerjestad
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae47b19492c3e553e64882fa33c8f907a989ced4c8b85bfbecc878d38ab551a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djurgaardenof Djurgaarden, Faerjestad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda03…0d44backed Djurgaarden | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…d036backed Faerjestad | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Faerjestad | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…d137backed Djurgaarden | 43c | 238$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4a…ee33backed Faerjestad | 57c | 238$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Djurgaarden | 58c | 188.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Faerjestad | 62c | 154.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Djurgaarden | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Djurgaarden | 39c | 124$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Djurgaarden | 39c | 108$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Djurgaarden | 36c | 107$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Djurgaarden | 39c | 104$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Djurgaarden | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Djurgaarden | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Djurgaarden | 39c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Djurgaarden | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Djurgaarden | 38c | 57.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Djurgaarden | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Djurgaarden | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Faerjestad | 64c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Faerjestad | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Faerjestad | 55c | 46.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Faerjestad | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Faerjestad | 60c | 45.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Djurgaarden | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Djurgaarden | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Djurgaarden | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Faerjestad | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Djurgaarden | 38c | 39.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Faerjestad | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Djurgaarden | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Faerjestad | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Faerjestad | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Faerjestad | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Faerjestad | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Faerjestad | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Faerjestad | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Faerjestad | 42c | 28.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Djurgaarden | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Faerjestad | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Faerjestad | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…7c34backed Faerjestad | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Faerjestad | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Faerjestad | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Faerjestad | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Faerjestad | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Faerjestad | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Faerjestad | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Faerjestad | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.