Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a01cb35d6bfc2dbb7b0ba7821871594d193a24e7a0ea0c241913b7d9ee86d0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions, Grambling State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 30c | 524.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.84 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Grambling State Tigers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 490$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 59c | 305.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Grambling State Tigers | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 230.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grambling State Tigers | 53c | 198.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Grambling State Tigers | 67c | 181.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 150$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 30c | 144$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33c | 78.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 60c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grambling State Tigers | 19c | 71.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33c | 69.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 61.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grambling State Tigers | 59c | 60.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grambling State Tigers | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 31c | 44.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33c | 35.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Grambling State Tigers | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Grambling State Tigers | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Grambling State Tigers | 71c | 15.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.