Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2590720f34639d31490af0f0b52529d2fa4e86a3b30b9d937df450345f42607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 1,162$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.28 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Nova Esports | 55c | 1,048$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.25 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Nova Esports | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 540.12$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.24 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 356.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…2d0fbacked Nova Esports | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Nova Esports | 53c | 193.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 130.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…bcf1backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 87.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 65.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 64.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nova Esports | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Nova Esports | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked EDward Gaming | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Nova Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.