Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: England (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45fa2f5ef9fb0f46735b45a16b67bc325bc95dc35ca0222a035ac1b5e2a429aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof England, Japan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked England | 0c | 12,748$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…a880backed Japan | 65c | 1,221$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed England | 33c | 1,099$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Japan | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed England | 22c | 599.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Japan | 63c | 496.21$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Japan | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed England | 36c | 397.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked England | 39c | 387.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Japan | 64c | 384.91$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Japan | 70c | 379.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked England | 30c | 311.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed England | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked England | 35c | 282.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked England | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Japan | 61c | 245.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed England | 32c | 244.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked England | 36c | 242.87$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed England | 37c | 226.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed England | 36c | 213.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed England | 38c | 193$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Japan | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Japan | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked England | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed England | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed England | 23c | 136.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked England | 37c | 135.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed England | 36c | 129.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked England | 36c | 102.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…e2fabacked Japan | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed England | 35c | 76.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed England | 31c | 75.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Japan | 67c | 70.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed England | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked England | 36c | 62.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Japan | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…6946backed Japan | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Japan | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Japan | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed England | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…32a7backed Japan | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed Japan | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed England | 37c | 35.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Japan | 65c | 32.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Japan | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Japan | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Japan | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed England | 37c | 27.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Japan | 71c | 26.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…2257backed Japan | 66c | 26.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Japan | 64c | 26.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Japan | 70c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Japan | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ea…46a9backed Japan | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Japan | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Japan | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Japan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: England (-1.5)this page
- England vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)England won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.