La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35c8878b0fcab7965f388151b86fede98484b80f3124e25d858c970d4233e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 1,933$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.28 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 960.31$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.08 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 59c | 845.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 68c | 800.03$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 75c | 740.67$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.02 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 674.94$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.26 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 21c | 569.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 552.9$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.01 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 65c | 512.6$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 59c | 508.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 51c | 505.01$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.74 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 474.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 468.89$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 403.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 16c | 366.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.49 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 63c | 329.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 31c | 321.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 284.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…a33cbacked Yes | 42c | 236.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 207.46$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 153.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 143.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 136.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 19c | 135.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 96.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 62c | 89.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 36c | 74.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 60c | 66.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 36c | 65.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 20c | 63.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 36c | 60.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 36c | 58.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 38c | 57.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 37c | 56.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 38c | 54.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 37c | 51.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 25c | 49.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 48.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 45.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 35c | 43.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 62c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedca…4519backed Yes | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Yes | 34c | 30.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed No | 58c | 30.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 48c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 65c | 23.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…bc51backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Yes | 78c | 19.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Yes | 77c | 19.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 61c | 17.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.