TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c3,706$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c2,971$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.4759230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c1,779$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.4336850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over48c1,136$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.523855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under61c1,082$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66220262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over56c1,080$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.261070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c1,050$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.51,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Under55c956$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Over45c956$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.8850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8912254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under39c761.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c688.99$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.831573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under45c664.11$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over45c655.78$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c641.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.553647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over45c573.55$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.551838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bc…1523backed Over40c441.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over47c423.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7115141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c407.86$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.41,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c383.25$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.741,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c375$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.492,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over63c317.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.712250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Under56c313.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9311230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1743268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under56c299.94$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9610550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c293.42$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over38c262.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7512848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under56c260.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14632356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.52,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.410740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over50c237.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1192343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.772250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7731644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over51c206.61$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2411221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under17c205.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c199.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under56c189.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3711060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Under55c181.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.098355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…e863backed Over57c175.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over41c166.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3946536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2918822.3%42 W · 146 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Over44c151.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over38c141.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under38c140.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.835318.9%10 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over44c137.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0435848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over52c136.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6728964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over58c133.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2313653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under60c132.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.273452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Under69c120.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3822466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.645935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6418769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over49c107.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7125865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c101.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.91,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a95…23cfbacked Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick32cpaid+47.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under56c97.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3611658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c90.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7782340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9616535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under61c83.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under61c82.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6225554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under61c82.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6223749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under61c82.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6221953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under62c82.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6224653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under62c82.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under62c82.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6217158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c79.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c78.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Over47c76.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.67240.3%29 W · 43 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c70.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.531,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.95846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c68.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8635658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under56c67.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.051850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over38c52.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5582348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under57c52.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.992944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under66c50.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.485451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2848147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under59c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.33461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over41c49.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.516946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5110540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under56c45.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.747857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under59c45.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.843565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over65c44.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked Under62c44.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.