Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Belarus: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaac2009ef48a1edc0b53159003440cb3095da51baa3056d4daac10672b1adf3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…faf3backed No | 51c | 7,003$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…4690backed Yes | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,668$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 53c | 555.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 529.13$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 395.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 60c | 329.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 63c | 316.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 51c | 205.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 62c | 192.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 190.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 51c | 139.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…aff3backed Yes | 60c | 135.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 62c | 135.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 135.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 116.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 106.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed No | 42c | 104.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 60c | 82.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…297fbacked Yes | 50c | 75.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 37c | 75.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 66c | 75.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes | 60c | 74.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 51c | 73.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9197backed No | 53c | 72.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked No | 61c | 65.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked No | 39c | 61.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed No | 71c | 54.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…73acbacked Yes | 50c | 46.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…7707backed No | 52c | 44.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 44.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 47c | 32.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes | 44c | 31.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…299fbacked No | 53c | 30.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…a3f9backed Yes | 50c | 28.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 49c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 49c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Belarus: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Belarus won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Armenia won
- Spread: Belarus (-2.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.