Fifa International · resolved market
Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4844e9fc7f7630774d2f230865dcfbd24274168c86b8bdb881cf1b2f1d985ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 60c | 2,770$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 2,588$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,346$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 76c | 989.98$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 79c | 699.96$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 19c | 614.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 606.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 500.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 480.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 3c | 472.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 461.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 62c | 430$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Under | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 22c | 256.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 21c | 241.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 33c | 223.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 66c | 186.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 165.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 75c | 162.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 78c | 158.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 15c | 152$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 69c | 142$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 141.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 134.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Under | 22c | 106.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Over | 17c | 104.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 80c | 96.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 40c | 64.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 56.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 53.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 59c | 51.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 25c | 51.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 78c | 41.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Over | 64c | 39.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…2364backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Over | 71c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 79c | 15.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 71c | 15.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 1.5this page
- Armenia vs. Belarus: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 2.5Over won
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Armenia vs. Belarus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Armenia (-2.5)Belarus won
- Spread: Belarus (-1.5)Armenia won
- Spread: Belarus (-2.5)Armenia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.