Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 4: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4873e4f5e08374637dd48fd0fbd8050eb22df6d640fe2fe82543489b0f723cdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colton Smithof Jurij Rodionov, Colton Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jurij Rodionov | 12c | 20,734$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 8c | 20,219$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.82 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jurij Rodionov | 10c | 15,048$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Colton Smith | 58c | 10,809$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jurij Rodionov | 13c | 4,602$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.27 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jurij Rodionov | 27c | 2,063$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.45 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Colton Smith | 49c | 1,711$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.45 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jurij Rodionov | 54c | 1,530$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…b3e6backed Colton Smith | 23c | 1,462$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 1,357$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.21 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jurij Rodionov | 33c | 1,108$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.8 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Jurij Rodionov | 50c | 1,007$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.27 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 7c | 808.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Jurij Rodionov | 34c | 743.09$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 26c | 717.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Jurij Rodionov | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jurij Rodionov | 41c | 600$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.08 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jurij Rodionov | 15c | 547.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Jurij Rodionov | 49c | 468.61$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.62 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Colton Smith | 51c | 389.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colton Smith | 20c | 388.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.43 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 376.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Jurij Rodionov | 15c | 334.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 311.39$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 292.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.31 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Colton Smith | 50c | 289.8$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colton Smith | 28c | 203.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Jurij Rodionov | 51c | 196.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Jurij Rodionov | 6c | 193.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colton Smith | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jurij Rodionov | 28c | 165.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 147.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith | 59c | 143.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…b58bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 127.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 113.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Colton Smith | 38c | 110.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…c17dbacked Colton Smith | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 47c | 96.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Colton Smith | 21c | 93.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Jurij Rodionov | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jurij Rodionov | 39c | 88.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Colton Smith | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Colton Smith | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Colton Smith | 29c | 64.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Jurij Rodionov | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Colton Smith | 52c | 61.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 60.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Colton Smith | 24c | 60.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…fa33backed Jurij Rodionov | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Jurij Rodionov | 62c | 58.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Colton Smith | 20c | 52.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Colton Smith | 59c | 51.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Colton Smith | 21c | 51.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colton Smith | 52c | 50.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Colton Smith | 52c | 50.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Jurij Rodionov | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Colton Smith | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Colton Smith | 37c | 47.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Colton Smith | 79c | 47.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 46.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…8437backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 44.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Colton Smith | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Colton Smith | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jurij Rodionov | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Colton Smith | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 27.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 21.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Colton Smith | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Colton Smith | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Colton Smith | 60c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 18.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 13.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras 4: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smiththis page
- Oeiras 4: Completed Match: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton SmithYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.