Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc774b4421aadd9bb3ef101fe87174521867f4fe493acf00b098aff16da6548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $422,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 40,731$10,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,321.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 73c | 20,317$14,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,769.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.82 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7d…5e40backed Yes | 1c | 18,306$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed No | 13c | 13,260$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,471.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 16c | 10,560$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,830.32 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 7,365$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…ec52backed Yes | 71c | 6,000$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 70c | 5,029$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 15c | 4,829$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 13c | 4,700$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 4,304$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.74 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 13c | 4,133$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,595.59 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 14c | 4,070$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.01 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 14c | 3,934$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…8dfabacked Yes | 72c | 3,306$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 16c | 3,119$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.75 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.98 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 2,676$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.3 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 16c | 2,606$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.92 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,239$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 16c | 2,116$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.14 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 30c | 2,006$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 14c | 1,999$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.91 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed No | 15c | 1,975$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 30cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 22c | 1,868$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.15 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 15c | 1,817$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.63 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 15c | 1,787$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.95 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 79c | 1,552$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.59 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Yes | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 14c | 1,515$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +145.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 14c | 1,491$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.38 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…181ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,427$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 16c | 1,313$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…be8cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,127$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 24c | 1,060$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.77 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d815backed Yes | 78c | 1,057$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 64c | 922.08$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.6 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 43c | 920.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 78c | 892.16$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.8 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb661…6c08backed Yes | 67c | 879.11$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Yes | 70c | 860.61$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 71c | 813.28$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 36c | 748.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 71c | 702.11$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 13c | 700$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…39dbbacked Yes | 71c | 678.87$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 14c | 667.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 40c | 650.7$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.3 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 73c | 639.95$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 17c | 618.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 73c | 599.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Yes | 52c | 599.92$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 17c | 589.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 78c | 560.43$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 15c | 555.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 528.73$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…4af3backed Yes | 75c | 521.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 16c | 500.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.23 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 14c | 492.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 80c | 485.19$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 18c | 484.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…9e61backed No | 16c | 482.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 76c | 477.03$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed No | 14c | 468.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 17c | 467.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.99 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 59c | 466.39$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 36c | 464.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 14c | 460$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 14c | 442.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.31 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 65c | 438$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Yes | 44c | 437.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 77c | 420.65$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0afabacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 396.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.06 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Yes | 68c | 385.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 50c | 364$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 14c | 363.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked No | 14c | 354.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 14c | 344.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 14c | 341.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.1 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 63c | 315$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 14c | 314.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 64c | 313.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Yes | 35c | 311.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Yes | 51c | 311.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?this page
- Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-03-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.