Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebbd9097d7ea74afec452aaf42c4e3556ed973c2d2b767a0748bab70ea2a16fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 6c | 9,999$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.96 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 7c | 8,559$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 4c | 5,222$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 4,041$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 5c | 3,935$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 6c | 3,474$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 7c | 3,106$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,353$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,732$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…1910backed Yes | 5c | 1,517$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 3c | 1,505$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 7c | 1,311$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 7c | 1,279$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a16…2b54backed Yes | 5c | 1,099$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179a…0b40backed Yes | 5c | 982$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…f597backed Yes | 5c | 938$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 8c | 937.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 2c | 881.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 6c | 851.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed Yes | 6c | 847.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…47ebbacked Yes | 5c | 838$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 6c | 817.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…0a83backed Yes | 5c | 780$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 5c | 757.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…6755backed Yes | 16c | 730.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…d8dcbacked Yes | 5c | 723$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…8084backed Yes | 7c | 675.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 6c | 669.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 6c | 644$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 2c | 562.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…78eebacked Yes | 5c | 538$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 6c | 537.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 3c | 518.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…2cfdbacked Yes | 4c | 485.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 483.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…cb44backed Yes | 6c | 475.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +325.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…2cffbacked Yes | 5c | 466$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 3c | 455.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…f30ebacked Yes | 5c | 454$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 6c | 384.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…e2fabacked Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 7c | 271.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 6c | 269.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 7c | 267.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 11c | 265.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…4995backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 6c | 246.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 5c | 243$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…8cb5backed Yes | 5c | 232.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 5c | 229.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 6c | 225.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 6c | 215.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8a59backed Yes | 5c | 202.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…b882backed Yes | 7c | 201.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 8c | 199.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…9ae8backed Yes | 6c | 195.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Yes | 7c | 176.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 12c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 8c | 149.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-03-30?this page
- Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.