TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No22c30,792$6,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,869.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c6,929$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f53…c2b7backed Yes78c5,272$4,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes71c5,102$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c2,841$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a5…f586backed Yes64c2,100$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No9c2,076$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5912036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes40c1,777$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.417642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Yes60c1,670$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.0413453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No49c1,524$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.44753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No27c1,442$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c1,439$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.7446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes10c1,347$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.881,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No42c1,131$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.5116341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,097$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.837144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes12c924.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.236535.4%23 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Yes79c820.39$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.288254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes69c795.65$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes58c604.15$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.151643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes63c587.23$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.072317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes74c565.17$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4115747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed No28c536.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No47c530.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.39759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d8…ad50backed Yes11c511.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.822454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5266…c5d2backed Yes12c506.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes10c500$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes50c494.82$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4118128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes51c477.06$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Yes74c459.17$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.582763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9758…536dbacked Yes55c456.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes22c455$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35522448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No41c442.92$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes41c436.08$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.532,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes9c430$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+107.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes41c420.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes52c408.09$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes13c406.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4121630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed No60c400$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes65c398.1$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1511631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes10c390.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.323,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes9c375.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes57c352.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.597122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes60c327.86$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8920856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes10c310$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2793860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes16c302.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.13330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No21c295.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.457757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked Yes69c293.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes12c282.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.953132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes27c277.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.491136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a9…b4c3backed Yes75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Yes48c266.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d5…cb44backed Yes10c250$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick18cpaid+325.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Yes80c232.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c219.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.482,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d1…06fbbacked Yes15c218.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5ff3backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d40…7915backed Yes66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No40c208.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1316116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes26c205.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.713551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes54c183.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No13c183.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.987266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ccb…6e97backed Yes58c173.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64f…3577backed Yes10c169.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.081921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-7.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaff4…8720backed Yes62c162.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No67c158.74$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.763141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes11c158.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.395125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes13c150$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.741942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes67c145.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.254967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked No50c141.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.662254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No36c135.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.486314.3%9 W · 54 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Yes47c134.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.533948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76fc…6682backed Yes74c134.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Yes70c134$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.23839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4652…6863backed Yes30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No11c131.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes10c130$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No48c127.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No48c127.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618644.6%83 W · 103 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed No21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-69.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes64c116.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4819935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed No25c114.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.285761.4%35 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed No50c113.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.236538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes75c108$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb012…0136backed Yes56c107.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.546735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0af9…5bf2backed Yes62c106$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90429.5%4 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8615945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d5…56dcbacked Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b1d…9764backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Yes65c93.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No29c87.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes18c85.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.293912.8%5 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed Yes15c80.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.113743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.