Fifa International · resolved market
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd74591706edf2b8d0677c3a26249e33576886803263081bb59eb07fb3a76a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd71e…79a1backed Yes | 64c | 15,262$9,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,751.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 36c | 9,096$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.59 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 6,338$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 6,113$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.03 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 5,775$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.06 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 2,571$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.57 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 2,162$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.8 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,069$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.12 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 908.61$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 847.25$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.81 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 61c | 801.58$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.27 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 50c | 788.54$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.63 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 55c | 593.13$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.06 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 507.74$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 40c | 492.8$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 60c | 489.44$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.66 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 61c | 484.84$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…7396backed Yes | 62c | 367.15$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 46c | 339.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 271.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 37c | 259.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 56c | 226.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Yes | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 51c | 199.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 193$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.66 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 60c | 164.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…3b03backed Yes | 64c | 153.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 36c | 148.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 36c | 145$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 51c | 143.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 139.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 64c | 119.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 37c | 118.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 39c | 114.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…6afebacked Yes | 62c | 111.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 105.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 42c | 103.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 30c | 95.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 53c | 89.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 62c | 79.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 77.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 50c | 71.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 55c | 71.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 45c | 70.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 20c | 66.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 38c | 59.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 58.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…1e09backed Yes | 62c | 56.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 62c | 55.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 63c | 49.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 39c | 46.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 37c | 45.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 60c | 39.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 36c | 38.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 60c | 32.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed Yes | 60c | 32.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…3d2abacked Yes | 55c | 32.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Yes | 63c | 31.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 39c | 28.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 49c | 26.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…1667backed Yes | 60c | 26.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…e800backed Yes | 62c | 25.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Yes | 62c | 24.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…cd53backed Yes | 62c | 23.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…8197backed Yes | 63c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Republic of Ireland vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.