La Liga · resolved market
Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aee6cb56442fb5ed703950d3890acfe383fa8396e4ee58b7a00f7f193fb677b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,008$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 1,279$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.82 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Under | 57c | 883$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 25c | 814.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 59c | 489.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.82 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 41c | 369.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 64c | 333$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 63c | 331.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 65c | 309.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 59c | 296.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 41c | 223.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 202.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 28c | 178.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 58c | 168.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 24c | 163.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Under | 72c | 148$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 147.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 14c | 145.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 131.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bfdcbacked Over | 33c | 111.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 67c | 106.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…44acbacked Over | 38c | 94.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 92.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 14c | 77.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Under | 72c | 76.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 44c | 67.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 52.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 41c | 49.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 28c | 48.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 60c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 68c | 35.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd290…5f4abacked Under | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 61c | 25.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 77c | 22.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Under | 65c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 66c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 70c | 19.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 78c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.