La Liga · resolved market
Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ccb560393c20c9b09ccdc056a794cca783099b58f471458d75ea200c81d3919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 79c | 203$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 203$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 186.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 146.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 26c | 94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 74c | 94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 26c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 67.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 76c | 40.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 75c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 75c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 75c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 75c | 26.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 75c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 75c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 75c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 75c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 75c | 24.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 76c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 75c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
- Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.