TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over46c69,058$31,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,929.381250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Over49c31,116$15,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,246.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c27,624$13,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,811.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c27,097$13,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,548.721250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under51c20,274$10,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,934.214537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c16,795$9,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,783.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c12,500$6,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.9719038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over54c10,513$5,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,630.923571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under51c9,705$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,766.976331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c8,730$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c6,374$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.895653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Under52c5,592$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under43c5,503$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.341643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over43c4,864$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c4,528$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.0386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c4,481$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.5550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c4,399$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.191,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under52c3,638$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under53c2,864$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+67.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over49c2,828$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.5229646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c2,500$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.982347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under53c2,263$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.6836250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Under51c2,157$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.7714348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.582343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c1,985$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.0836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7909…e8febacked Over18c1,877$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under55c1,865$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.3911239.3%44 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over58c1,446$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.491963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ce…1ba6backed Under51c1,206$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over60c1,135$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c1,024$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Over50c993.07$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.541450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c880.3$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.823,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under52c840.46$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4212140.5%49 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over51c807.79$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.079124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over47c778.7$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9925865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c768.06$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under52c724.95$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.981573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32221957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c686.89$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.382250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under53c618.83$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over50c588$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under56c558.91$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.927055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under45c534.79$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.095451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c513.98$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0923751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Over49c510.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over48c495.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.742,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under55c494.64$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.911,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over50c485$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.519317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under54c478.2$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6214948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Under51c475$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c469.43$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.031,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under53c458.34$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.427266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under51c447.92$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4711060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under58c437.17$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9823749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under51c436.77$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.027153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over50c427.29$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.651662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c410.43$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.22,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over51c401.05$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.552,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1768357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under57c394.12$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.478743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over51c390.1$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9528964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Under58c389.87$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5131644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over52c361.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9835658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under57c353.52$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6120156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under57c352.72$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under57c344.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3410958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Under53c310.13$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under51c304.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.015026%13 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Over48c290.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under55c289.6$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.62544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over51c286.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5712254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4289…3df1backed Over50c271.29$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.64666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under50c244.17$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.084953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under52c242.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c242.41$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.341,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under60c233.26$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.556055%33 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over45c217.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6713454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c209.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5812140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c207.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.798734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.824746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Under68c202.39$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.947954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over43c195.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under57c195.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3817158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf30…2682backed Under52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Under51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe689…b81abacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over50c192.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.031323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under57c191.22$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2245248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over45c189.94$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.12,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.