Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x941b4a1667d6ba0e0dbd7fe0141af75b03ec71d8b116cbd034f7987a9743916a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 1,987$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 22c | 1,250$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 67c | 1,100$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 836.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 26c | 780.24$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 74c | 731.65$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 75c | 590.37$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 518.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 29c | 501.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…555ebacked Under | 78c | 500.26$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Over | 26c | 380.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 23c | 369.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 23c | 366.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 79c | 281.76$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 79c | 281.76$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 77c | 262.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Under | 73c | 245.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 395 | 51.1%202 W · 193 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 195.12$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 184.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 167.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 20c | 151.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 80c | 124.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 24c | 123.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 116.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…9fe6backed Over | 32c | 109.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 74c | 101.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 20c | 98.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Over | 28c | 80.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 21c | 73.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 65.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 79c | 60.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 79c | 60.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…80dcbacked Over | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 79c | 54.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 74c | 49.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 79c | 45.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 43.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 28c | 38.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 28c | 38.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 64c | 36.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 79c | 31.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 79c | 31.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 78c | 28.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…d203backed Under | 74c | 22.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 15.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 3.5this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.