CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f9c3d9d74ed7a795cfa0570a25a0d9e756848d5694cda2cf0c44fe42aa396b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof HAVU, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Liquid | 20c | 830.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Liquid | 14c | 517.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HAVU | 68c | 353.74$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 79c | 310.63$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Liquid | 36c | 252.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 59c | 250.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed HAVU | 61c | 246.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Liquid | 42c | 212.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Liquid | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Liquid | 42c | 198.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 61c | 189.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Liquid | 25c | 173.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed HAVU | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed HAVU | 35c | 99.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Liquid | 64c | 90.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HAVU | 72c | 80.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed HAVU | 72c | 80.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HAVU | 73c | 78.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Liquid | 44c | 68.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HAVU | 34c | 64.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0546backed Liquid | 30c | 62.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed HAVU | 73c | 39.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed HAVU | 73c | 39.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked HAVU | 73c | 39.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Liquid | 45c | 30.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…2e46backed HAVU | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed HAVU | 76c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed HAVU | 53c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd1…e7d4backed HAVU | 63c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.