TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof HAVU, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd604…ee57backed HAVU46c8,517$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.234731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Liquid55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9935850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid66c4,147$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.86,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Liquid53c2,885$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.0875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed HAVU34c2,646$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.2346344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Liquid76c2,538$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0420458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked HAVU43c1,998$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid68c1,967$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.557,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda17…abc5backed Liquid59c1,954$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.949353.8%50 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…96dbbacked HAVU51c1,747$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.0360%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked HAVU35c1,708$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.3549745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked HAVU45c1,580$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.979553.7%51 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked HAVU36c1,479$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.8721536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Liquid51c1,470$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.0236742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked HAVU35c1,373$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.548232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked HAVU34c1,284$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7138942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Liquid49c1,230$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.348437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Liquid79c1,201$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.2229858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked HAVU46c1,084$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.581,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Liquid56c1,061$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5735242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Liquid57c1,049$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.461,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed HAVU33c1,038$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2129244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HAVU37c1,022$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.94,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e271backed HAVU52c956$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.96358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Liquid59c930$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.313845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked HAVU14c904.88$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.731,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed HAVU21c900$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18932042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Liquid55c882.34$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5536253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd4…39b8backed HAVU50c876.81$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.766637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed HAVU26c854.32$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3231345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HAVU37c802.47$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.025,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Liquid62c801.19$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5514555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582a…ae39backed HAVU36c796.51$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.617250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e07…3545backed Liquid53c796.07$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.197647.4%36 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed HAVU22c789.92$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed HAVU15c777.3$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.63630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid50c762.7$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3805,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid54c751.03$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.595,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c99…dfe9backed HAVU39c743.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.431637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed HAVU45c737.85$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.111,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed HAVU20c706.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4861837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd054…1ec1backed HAVU36c692.69$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.13842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a81…a925backed HAVU21c679.8$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.93122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed HAVU29c666.06$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.46848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed HAVU36c659.65$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.878043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Liquid77c658.04$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.531,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b4…d45dbacked HAVU42c654.1$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.697859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed HAVU12c629.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.21,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed HAVU30c590.53$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked HAVU47c584.78$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8534542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Liquid51c573.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d64…b4c0backed Liquid67c568.61$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.143836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked HAVU20c555.88$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1940635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Liquid71c548.3$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.972850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94f…ce94backed Liquid58c507.67$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.33141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Liquid80c506$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.247165.2%307 W · 164 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Liquid75c505.12$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8578963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Liquid75c499.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.58862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Liquid69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1555354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked HAVU26c477.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed HAVU22c448.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1742638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Liquid51c445.51$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.319645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Liquid72c433.43$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.236152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Liquid51c422.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5355043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Liquid53c421.1$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5748350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked HAVU21c417.64$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.179538.9%37 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed HAVU54c407.64$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7233960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Liquid47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0bd9backed HAVU38c396.53$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.741450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed Liquid56c371.85$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.615162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Liquid59c364.26$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6861338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Liquid78c348.8$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked HAVU48c330.3$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5429052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…ab6abacked HAVU43c320.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Liquid58c307.45$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.132352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed HAVU35c303.91$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7530254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Liquid54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Liquid56c294.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7739258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed HAVU18c292.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9924429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed HAVU47c290.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.111,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Liquid66c278.3$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6216349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed HAVU26c271.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6916550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed HAVU44c267.1$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.369351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Liquid55c265.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4115544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bff…267ebacked Liquid78c263.22$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.814757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HAVU36c258.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.063,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Liquid53c227.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7776546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Liquid60c217.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.194443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked HAVU32c211.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6218759.4%111 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed HAVU11c211.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3746843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed HAVU23c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.58838.6%34 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed HAVU33c195.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked HAVU17c195.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.266555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b06…9672backed Liquid59c194.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+195%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb3…2ab3backed HAVU51c189.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.082665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3d…d35fbacked HAVU31c188.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Liquid52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6536151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8149…9ed6backed Liquid53c182.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU29c181.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid71c174.18$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.453,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.