Fifa International · resolved market
Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3033e48d232309adf9b6053d9a50be50ca1b15c7d6d76afc8fc61c01d0aab72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 34c | 7,985$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.36 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 5,021$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 65c | 4,446$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 40c | 3,399$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 35c | 3,060$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.68 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…85b7backed Yes | 63c | 3,042$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 63c | 2,282$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.46 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…596bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 1,679$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.47 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 36c | 1,665$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.42 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 1,449$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…c7dabacked Yes | 69c | 1,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 1,447$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.67 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 37c | 1,415$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.35 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 1,172$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 37c | 880$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed No | 37c | 849.19$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Yes | 63c | 831.67$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 65c | 807.45$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 52c | 739.61$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 63c | 663.72$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 65c | 648.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 631.7$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.6 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 35c | 605.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.4 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 553.35$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 38c | 526.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.04 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 522.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.86 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 66c | 455.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Yes | 48c | 427.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 422.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 38c | 366.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked No | 17c | 359$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 62c | 354.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Yes | 54c | 323.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…c7dfbacked Yes | 64c | 311.63$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…4c25backed Yes | 55c | 310.36$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…e532backed Yes | 66c | 303.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…2d88backed No | 37c | 296.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes | 62c | 285.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…5236backed Yes | 74c | 245.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 62c | 241.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 239.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 36c | 238.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.02 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721d…ffe1backed Yes | 66c | 234.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…3176backed Yes | 66c | 220.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 63c | 208.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 206.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 61c | 197.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 53c | 196.85$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 36c | 193$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 33c | 185.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 55c | 182.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 37c | 168.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…5cb6backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4d…ea81backed No | 37c | 155$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Yes | 65c | 154.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…60a0backed Yes | 65c | 154.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…daa0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 36c | 149.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 149.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…332bbacked Yes | 49c | 144.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 143.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…c3b0backed No | 36c | 142$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 134.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…de8ebacked Yes | 66c | 128.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed No | 38c | 126.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 30cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…42e4backed No | 35c | 123$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 66c | 121.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…0ac3backed No | 37c | 117$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…8228backed No | 39c | 116.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…11f7backed No | 39c | 113.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Yes | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 62c | 97.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 38c | 94.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 59c | 92.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 92.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 37c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 63c | 88.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 36c | 82.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Yes | 62c | 81.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…dbfdbacked Yes | 57c | 78.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Mali win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Russia vs. Mali end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.