La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb5c5e4791bed8daf7db7d109eb2f2cbc5e51ef0d662a906f0aee2c21c89288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,229$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Under | 50c | 2,005$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 1,260$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.26 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 37c | 1,198$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.34 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 27c | 999.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 50c | 995.98$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.04 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 58c | 829.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 46c | 594.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 54c | 495.43$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 66c | 458.12$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 73c | 317.14$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 261.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 235.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Over | 52c | 227.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 21c | 213.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 203.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 41c | 195.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 175.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 142.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 26c | 135$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 75c | 97.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 61c | 82.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 74c | 76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 74.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 74c | 59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 50.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 49.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 38c | 43.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 38.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 35c | 28.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b2aebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.