La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d8da1c8c408484fec3ad4f59e3cb157f83cea19c0958d8c657bd64d278c27b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,465$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 48c | 1,402$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 578.55$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 311.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 246.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 48c | 207.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 207.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 200.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb48…7166backed Over | 47c | 193.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…6acdbacked Over | 47c | 191.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…c8cfbacked Under | 53c | 191$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…082bbacked Under | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…25a4backed Under | 53c | 187$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…dccebacked Over | 47c | 181.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…b9c8backed Under | 53c | 178$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…64f5backed Under | 52c | 176.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…0e3cbacked Over | 48c | 176.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…bbb3backed Under | 52c | 176.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…227dbacked Over | 48c | 176.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…e87ebacked Over | 47c | 175.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…8f9abacked Over | 47c | 175.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…1776backed Under | 53c | 171$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 151.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 62c | 142.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 127.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 123.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 113.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 108.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 52c | 99.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 93.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Under | 53c | 62.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 61.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 45c | 44.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…db02backed Under | 52c | 44.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 49c | 41.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 80c | 37.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…0a9abacked Over | 48c | 33.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 48c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…a423backed Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 38c | 27.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…93f7backed Over | 44c | 24.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 23.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…550cbacked Under | 54c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 73c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.