TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No48c149,868$71,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,936.6518352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes52c93,240$48,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,754.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c37,819$19,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,160.023,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes49c5,408$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.095046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No51c5,321$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.672657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c3,424$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c2,478$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.55,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c1,238$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.991,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes53c1,238$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes53c1,175$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.0257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c926.22$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.541,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes50c762.41$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.794531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c729.67$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.191,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No47c596.1$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.171850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Yes52c516.68$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes52c475.93$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2133560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes52c426.07$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3728158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes52c412.76$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1223354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes51c397.39$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.553246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Yes52c385.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Yes53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Yes52c363.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.66955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e81…9f38backed Yes53c324.54$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14411245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c284.62$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.642,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes52c241.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3417857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes52c219.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.351,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No20c210.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2541145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9740242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Yes49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No20c185.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No40c175.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Yes52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No49c157.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.464637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes52c148.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.688451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No49c134.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6814022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes51c131.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.612,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No48c119.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.154163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes51c118.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.25442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No49c115.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.128261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes71c103.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.891,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes80c98.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.742,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes52c92.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No19c91.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.889741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes53c90.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Yes52c85.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.092373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8d…9438backed Yes50c73.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c68.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.081,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes52c67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1624253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes52c64.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes76c58.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.221,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes51c56.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.826541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Yes53c55.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No48c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes56c50.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.619955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.254143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0410943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.044748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.411675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Yes50c43.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes51c41.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4511059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked No48c40.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes52c40.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.474866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.242958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked No52c37.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes52c37.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.012466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Yes50c36.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685b…cca8backed Yes52c36.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Yes50c36.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.353253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes48c33.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2627855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c30.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Yes50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513a…9e10backed Yes50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Yes50c28.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067e…625bbacked Yes51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Yes53c28.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No50c26.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes59c25.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.568248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4780…0c3fbacked Yes49c22.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.843154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c20.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes52c19.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.