TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,498 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes65c13,999$9,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,166.612254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes56c5,194$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.331030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c4,338$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.862,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No42c3,183$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.486355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No43c2,664$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.825,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes62c2,481$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.299452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c1,890$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.313,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes5c1,438$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.111,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes22c1,090$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c1,066$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.971,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes70c1,052$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.58447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No37c1,027$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.443633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No30c958$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes6c957.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.972548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes52c782.48$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.173762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c754.23$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.811,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No31c618.45$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.732330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No30c605.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.1913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes3c600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+240.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes71c527.42$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1211963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No44c483.08$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7848922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No30c466.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.631,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed No45c461.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.461741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No52c438.8$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.985062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No29c414.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.421,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No29c403.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.971,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes4c396.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes67c276.2$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.818858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes61c272.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3317560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed Yes70c266.54$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No29c262.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.253855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes63c261.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0433745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No76c259.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.257170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes68c254.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No29c254.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.752,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked No73c226.23$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c225.47$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.033,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes28c219.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1416842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked No37c208.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.373630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No52c203.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.022030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked No35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1309428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes70c189.65$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.762347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.455155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No31c167.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes30c150.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.712774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.027034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No55c146.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No36c128.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.042871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes32c120.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c118.39$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No30c117.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes27c116.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.823231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c115.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.172,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes44c110.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes69c99.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7851654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes58c83.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Yes66c81.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes23c79.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.195935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes63c77.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.898149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes60c73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.741,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c71.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.11,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.114446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a4…0b9ebacked Yes72c68.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No29c66.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.827745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes23c66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes63c60.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2111863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No33c59.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes63c59.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.546274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes66c59.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.184351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x76af…25c3backed No30c57.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.021275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked No31c55.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4118145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Yes70c51.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.373060%18 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes70c49.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.379353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No32c45.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0613023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes29c45.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Yes66c44.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.393956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes70c42.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.468146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x845c…bd64backed Yes70c42.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No43c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.515651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5769…5296backed Yes57c38.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80e…6178backed Yes58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Yes72c33.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes58c33.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5216266%107 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes68c31.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.54841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Yes63c31.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.564158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8429752.9%157 W · 140 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes65c30.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9629362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x261e…ca1cbacked No49c30.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6e…326cbacked No49c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac2e…a2dcbacked Yes63c29.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yes47c29.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.654156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes63c29.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa443…aaf3backed Yes67c29.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No37c29.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.388265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc86b…1d8ebacked Yes64c25.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.