South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07c9b2a2681c65888a7850391e96b5aab2fa8defeea2a927547d6465b9e7063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9c5…f860backed Yes | 24c | 3,973$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 69c | 2,938$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.33 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 2,910$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.21 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 2,029$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,139$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.1 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.28 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 21c | 951.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 11c | 865.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.76 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 548.73$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 468.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 264.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 77c | 257.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 251.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 21c | 227.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 77c | 216.9$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 25c | 182.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f6…3f8abacked Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 63c | 171.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes | 74c | 168.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 163.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 25c | 163.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 9c | 159.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 36c | 159.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 43c | 156.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 32c | 146.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 20c | 135.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 18c | 121.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 10c | 117.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 19c | 109.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 17c | 90.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 72c | 73.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 39c | 48.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 34c | 42.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…5455backed Yes | 67c | 35.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-14?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw?No won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.