South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcda6de8123a9eb2f3957b09f3184989301019c3ee27257b380d60535a2dd88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 70c | 1,573$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.57 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 78c | 1,203$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 836.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 43c | 676.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 610.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 569.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 384.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 36c | 348.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 61c | 209.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 154.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…7138backed No | 66c | 147.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 92.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 64.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 58.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 34c | 33.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 69c | 23.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 65c | 19.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw?this page
- Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-14?Yes won
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.