South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdccb6461cc74b5f33838baf6151eb018f84a0fa16aff69892dad335a9424bc2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 68c | 6,459$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 17c | 2,332$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.2 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 1,349$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 71c | 1,083$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 934.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.22 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 662.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 32c | 656.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 620.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 33c | 567$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.11 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 73c | 560.36$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 32c | 523.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 29c | 416$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 33c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 29c | 386.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 71c | 345.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 71c | 311.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 30c | 299.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 69c | 284.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 67c | 284.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 32c | 242$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 239.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 230.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 69c | 225.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 219.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 218.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 31c | 204.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 194.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 160.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 10c | 159.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed No | 31c | 149.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 18c | 142.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 16c | 138.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 29c | 134.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 122.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 30c | 118.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked No | 14c | 114.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 73c | 112.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 71c | 105.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 101$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 15c | 90.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 29c | 79.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 69c | 74.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 70c | 74.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked Yes | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 29c | 65.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed Yes | 71c | 62.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 34c | 62.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 32c | 57.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 53.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 71c | 41.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 71c | 31.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 69c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 65c | 20.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…7ed1backed Yes | 71c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…eb5fbacked Yes | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-13?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.