South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a67ed5b42033b5667493b9d0c6151f8ff968b34fd9828a5a460e2d250cc4d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 2,356$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.15 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 1,959$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.24 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,786$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 3c | 569.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 557.15$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Yes | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 353.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 301.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 215.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 197.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 80c | 168.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 118.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 12c | 118.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 92.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 92.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 75.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…f3f9backed Yes | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 61.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 22c | 60.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Yes | 21c | 53.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 42.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 78c | 41.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 79c | 31.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 31.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 79c | 31.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 79c | 31.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 80c | 30.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 80c | 16.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 80c | 16.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…2e4cbacked No | 80c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-13?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.