TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$463,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes1c44,082$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.085330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c40,473$31,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,186.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes54c26,427$14,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,270.3410450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c19,997$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.1723727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No45c14,635$6,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0491675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+59.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No45c13,950$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,723.738756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No44c13,034$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,298.9135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c11,338$8,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.583,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c8,320$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.9750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b45…e3febacked Yes2c6,451$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes56c5,673$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.92365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb74…a6bebacked No45c5,555$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c5,441$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,027.192,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No44c5,301$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.712755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No45c4,278$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.752222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9515952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes56c3,894$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.8614244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c3,805$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes43c3,687$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.233633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.116740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c3,137$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.11,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c2,952$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.3140357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes25c2,931$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.7410736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c2,644$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.921,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes30c2,526$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.755431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.974959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes36c2,486$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.282040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes55c2,313$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.1915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No65c2,135$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes5c2,122$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9411929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes5c2,090$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.277431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c2,078$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.3264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No44c2,003$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.957667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Yes20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed No44c1,908$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed No46c1,773$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.4414549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c1,770$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.6237829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No45c1,760$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes56c1,739$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.64358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes55c1,673$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.367561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes30c1,638$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.815448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No64c1,582$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c1,500$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes25c1,476$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.485255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes55c1,465$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.862030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes54c1,423$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.426764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes56c1,374$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.59244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6abc…f38ebacked Yes1c1,303$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.946563.1%41 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.946170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.947265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No45c1,289$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.944582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes56c1,223$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.8733734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No66c1,133$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0423456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c1,080$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes29c1,070$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.28252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes56c1,048$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.5611542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…403cbacked Yes56c1,043$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c792.53$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes25c764$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-74.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No73c739.08$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.416657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb602…1991backed Yes34c725.95$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No69c708.22$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.429164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed No44c628.46$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes47c620.93$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.762330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes56c602.09$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No45c597.12$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.427560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No69c596.12$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.244934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes24c584.28$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.362133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes34c576.24$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.929238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No45c568.81$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3619662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes27c531.22$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.435151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.913426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes55c530.71$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes56c524.16$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5312045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes56c521.57$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No46c518.89$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.220843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed No44c510.45$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.856434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes58c504.94$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2807750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c496.91$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes57c491.07$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.911656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes56c490.38$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.751838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.614557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No46c483.8$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2512954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes44c444.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.463354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c443.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda7…a4dcbacked Yes25c435.71$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes51c432.2$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.534431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.185939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No44c420$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.25431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c416.46$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3483650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes55c404.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.391844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No45c395.59$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.575364.2%34 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes55c381.94$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.071553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.