TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes15c84,674$12,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,699.7515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes17c11,823$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.923839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes26c8,213$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.3435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c5,985$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.851,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c3,210$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.8692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c2,904$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.522,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes9c2,472$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0511929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes12c1,895$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0410820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No75c1,702$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.499244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c1,439$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c1,171$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c1,169$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No76c991.23$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.926853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b1…3cd5backed Yes19c880.54$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.19616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes13c869.06$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.987431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No74c780.87$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes2c689.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes23c647.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c634.13$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.191,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes16c623.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.717744.2%34 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes30c590.77$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.23128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick40cpaid-88.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.961631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Yes4c468.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes27c440$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes25c431.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes27c374.37$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9211542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No76c364.41$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.462466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.624544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No71c324.26$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.034856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c299.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No72c295$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0119662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes27c286.86$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.452138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c279.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1448153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c247.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c219.04$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed No74c200$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.0wins+0.43per pick50cpaid+113.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes7c197.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.886931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.752931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No73c164.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.385959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes7c161.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes15c158.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No76c155.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.352263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes24c154.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1216660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No73c151.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0312042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes20c144.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.782317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd2…0820backed Yes24c132.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No74c131.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.476051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes18c119.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.675825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes24c110.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5122758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes24c110.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.517954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c108.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes27c99.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7715832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No74c98.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5949057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes16c97.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6710361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes17c95.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No76c89.14$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.696165.6%40 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Yes23c86.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.217044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked No74c79.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.752839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab55…6534backed Yes24c78.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed No72c71.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7330956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes27c67.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes22c66.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99861.2%60 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No75c59.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7710561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No74c58.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.284456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes27c56.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes30c54.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.297853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes27c53.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4612958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ae…ba41backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed Yes25c42.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No74c39.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.381668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes27c38.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3312538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0f…6e94backed Yes28c38.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes27c38.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2815344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No72c27.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.715570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9817159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No74c19.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.127273.6%53 W · 19 L+0.3wins0.00per pick73cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c15.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.