Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa222a97bb59cfffcb43d42bdefd3abc7280e28068901b2b038bc016e02505582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,401 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 4,100$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.99 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,881$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.69 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 2,610$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.74 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 2,588$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 2,280$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.1 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 15c | 1,700$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 16c | 1,143$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…32dfbacked No | 80c | 794.58$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…a50ebacked Yes | 20c | 794.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 423.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 62c | 403.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 19c | 375.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 15c | 299.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked No | 44c | 249.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 243.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 36c | 225.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 16c | 221.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 220$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 217.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 200.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…66dbbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 191.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 38c | 154.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 145.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 15c | 142.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebb…09fcbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 36c | 117.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…5378backed Yes | 69c | 108.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 15c | 106.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 93.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 36c | 90.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 65.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked No | 32c | 62.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…9605backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 60c | 57.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 59c | 53.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed No | 30c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 67c | 42.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Yes | 77c | 17.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 72c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.