Champions League · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bdcedec1c71fd7b58536479949c4a89d9d8b3d00181292cd7166ced5e02bcae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,299,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,400,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,299,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf22…fc16backed Yes | 31c | 1,045,992$329,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329,421.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 69c | 317,540$217,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 117,536$80,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,575.07 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 111,538$76,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,098.07 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 68c | 89,600$60,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,672 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 68c | 81,697$55,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,143.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 80,000$54,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,049.99 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 72,628$49,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,933.54 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 59,989$41,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,513.37 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…8250backed Yes | 0c | 29,940$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 18,727$12,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,831.53 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 18,130$12,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.67 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 68c | 13,978$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 68c | 13,357$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,274.17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 68c | 10,754$7,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 68c | 8,866$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.23 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 68c | 8,160$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 68c | 8,000$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.97 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 69c | 7,741$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 68c | 7,182$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.18 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 68c | 5,550$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 25c | 5,454$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 68c | 5,412$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 69c | 4,300$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.65 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 4,071$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.16 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 68c | 3,480$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 69c | 3,300$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 68c | 3,157$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.24 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 70c | 3,100$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 2,911$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.14 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 2,843$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.4 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 2,235$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.91 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked No | 68c | 2,069$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,050$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.47 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 68c | 1,552$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,470$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.54 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 1,423$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.76 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…6810backed Yes | 12c | 1,423$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 33c | 1,364$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 68c | 1,244$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.94 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 70c | 1,232$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.91 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…4ed3backed Yes | 34c | 1,169$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 68c | 1,166$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 68c | 1,114$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 68c | 1,109$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 68c | 1,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 69c | 990$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Yes | 34c | 919.06$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes | 34c | 817.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…bcd0backed Yes | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 68c | 773.44$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 33c | 699.27$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 667$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.78 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Yes | 31c | 650.97$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 68c | 623.99$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 32c | 599.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…e547backed Yes | 17c | 572.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 35c | 571.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 70c | 554$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 29c | 550$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 33c | 536.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…90b9backed Yes | 33c | 530$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed No | 69c | 528.2$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 505.41$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 67c | 500.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 67c | 499.92$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 28c | 494.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 66c | 453.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 22c | 452.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 25c | 450$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.