Music · resolved market
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ac3fc312b120e7733bfdb0a9d865f3ae67571e224a520f8a73ee33f1e11c287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 41c | 5,681$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,735$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,337$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…3750backed Yes | 38c | 4,317$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,237$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 1c | 4,028$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 56c | 3,415$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 13c | 3,315$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 50c | 2,947$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…baefbacked Yes | 17c | 2,571$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…4651backed No | 65c | 2,234$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,204$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed Yes | 1c | 2,095$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…045abacked No | 53c | 1,216$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 41c | 1,208$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,196$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb582…3097backed Yes | 1c | 1,176$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…6f61backed Yes | 1c | 1,163$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…1e49backed Yes | 12c | 1,132$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…671abacked Yes | 29c | 1,074$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 1,021$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked No | 80c | 917.15$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 908.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…d82cbacked No | 49c | 822.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3db…1959backed No | 57c | 782.81$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 766.38$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.21 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d2…60f5backed Yes | 9c | 753$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 79c | 736.63$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 41c | 720$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…2c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 719.68$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…bad8backed Yes | 1c | 718.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 14c | 700$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 62c | 687.32$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 4c | 671.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…4302backed Yes | 36c | 615.19$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…13c1backed No | 78c | 613.19$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…041abacked Yes | 33c | 603.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked No | 50c | 602.02$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9c71backed Yes | 36c | 560.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 58c | 560$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 56c | 554.24$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…4da2backed No | 54c | 534.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…57cebacked Yes | 2c | 533.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…1050backed Yes | 3c | 510.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 45c | 500.84$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…abccbacked No | 53c | 471.18$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed No | 60c | 448.57$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…aebebacked Yes | 4c | 446.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 410$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 338.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…30efbacked Yes | 17c | 328.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 6c | 322.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 55c | 318.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…1319backed No | 56c | 317.01$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…154abacked Yes | 7c | 307.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 302.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 47c | 299.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 66c | 290$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…0f66backed Yes | 12c | 249.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…9916backed Yes | 9c | 247.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 60c | 246.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…d5ebbacked Yes | 52c | 245$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…77b2backed Yes | 26c | 231.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…9412backed No | 68c | 227.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…a1a1backed Yes | 59c | 225.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked No | 54c | 224.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…8bf8backed Yes | 13c | 215$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…cf88backed No | 72c | 214.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…ede8backed No | 47c | 210.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb3…0a63backed Yes | 5c | 207.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 48c | 205.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…d56ebacked Yes | 32c | 205.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 201.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…6d05backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…5ee5backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…1056backed Yes | 9c | 192.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…f081backed Yes | 48c | 180.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5497…bc3bbacked No | 53c | 177.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…c78ebacked Yes | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…fcc7backed Yes | 48c | 173$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 58c | 171.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f33…bebcbacked Yes | 33c | 170.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…d0e2backed Yes | 49c | 168.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 9c | 165.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…9710backed Yes | 31c | 159.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…2574backed No | 63c | 158.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 15c | 155.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed No | 54c | 149.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…0d85backed Yes | 34c | 146.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?this page
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?No won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.