Music · resolved market
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742de60f0c34f865f819a14f38e2ca01e31731b538153c7b1d6b0f620c8960e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,075 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 47c | 1,978$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 18c | 1,751$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed No | 78c | 1,357$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 59c | 1,224$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 68c | 1,128$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed No | 79c | 1,075$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 75c | 1,066$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked Yes | 25c | 1,032$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed No | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 78c | 992$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 58c | 930$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 32c | 912$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…5a5fbacked No | 75c | 891$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…87cbbacked Yes | 53c | 841.02$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed No | 78c | 835$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 21c | 825$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 20c | 817.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 19c | 812$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed No | 42c | 802$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 76c | 797.99$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 68c | 777$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…f6dcbacked Yes | 42c | 758.85$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…e7dbbacked Yes | 22c | 752$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 78c | 749$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 17c | 740.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 25c | 728$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 36c | 698$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 41c | 672$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 58c | 652$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 21c | 645$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 16c | 641$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 32c | 637$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 59c | 637$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 59c | 590$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 53c | 585.17$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbe…04b4backed No | 41c | 575$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 22c | 561$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed No | 78c | 559$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed No | 43c | 506$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 42c | 483$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 58c | 483$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 62c | 450$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 22c | 447$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 41c | 432$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 68c | 431$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 64c | 414$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Yes | 22c | 406$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 394.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 22c | 383$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed Yes | 38c | 378$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked No | 76c | 376$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 24c | 376$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed Yes | 32c | 368$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked No | 42c | 367$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed No | 40c | 366$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked Yes | 22c | 366$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 32c | 362$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed No | 41c | 346$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 42c | 345$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 20c | 337$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Yes | 57c | 334$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 22c | 333$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 79c | 330$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 40c | 323$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 60c | 307$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…24babacked No | 78c | 298.61$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…4da2backed No | 77c | 293.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Yes | 64c | 284$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 22c | 271$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 37c | 270.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…6f39backed No | 40c | 251.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 33c | 249.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 24c | 248$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 21c | 247$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 43c | 231.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…7ec6backed No | 42c | 218$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 211.08$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed No | 41c | 206$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked No | 41c | 205$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 202$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 41c | 199.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…07fbbacked Yes | 56c | 190$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 78c | 184$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 21c | 183$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 32c | 183$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bee7backed Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked Yes | 57c | 172$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 39c | 157.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…dc69backed No | 67c | 150.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed Yes | 38c | 148$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…1965backed No | 68c | 145.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +146%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…6088backed No | 40c | 136.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 79c | 129$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 40c | 126.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?this page
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?No won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.