Music · resolved market
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9248525cb130e22e64a205b534dbae1a553d3161118ac21b2e8976293806a2cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 1c | 84,699$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed No | 2c | 11,512$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…98e9backed No | 0c | 9,762$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…b63cbacked No | 0c | 8,205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…a7f4backed No | 37c | 5,533$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…0976backed No | 0c | 5,409$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…a03abacked No | 18c | 4,962$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed No | 11c | 2,713$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…ef84backed No | 10c | 1,668$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 60c | 1,575$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed No | 40c | 1,503$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 1,305$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 43c | 1,248$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…4624backed No | 4c | 1,172$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 16c | 1,162$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.48 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,005$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 48c | 1,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 8c | 975.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…8d9cbacked Yes | 62c | 949.99$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bc…6b09backed No | 2c | 900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 60c | 720.38$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 4c | 668.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…936ebacked Yes | 47c | 662.49$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +197.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…6255backed Yes | 76c | 590$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed No | 3c | 574.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…bc1ebacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…2fa8backed No | 20c | 466.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…ac4abacked No | 13c | 463.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…c465backed No | 38c | 459.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 75c | 446.72$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 17c | 441.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 59c | 440.15$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.37 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 63c | 426.19$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 13c | 421.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 19c | 373.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998e…e0a1backed No | 6c | 347.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 19c | 326.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d48…ba3cbacked No | 18c | 324.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 79c | 318.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Yes | 68c | 313.28$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…b68abacked No | 38c | 311.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…9719backed No | 49c | 304.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…2888backed Yes | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…f826backed No | 7c | 286.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 8c | 276.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed No | 34c | 271.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 51c | 267.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…c89abacked No | 19c | 260.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…19c1backed No | 12c | 253.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 73c | 241.47$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed No | 5c | 240.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 239.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed No | 31c | 212.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 37c | 202.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 75c | 199.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 77c | 165.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…536bbacked Yes | 63c | 159.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…3b89backed No | 25c | 157.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…491bbacked Yes | 64c | 155.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed No | 15c | 152.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…c500backed No | 19c | 141.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x601e…7d1dbacked No | 37c | 138.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…7daabacked Yes | 62c | 129.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 72c | 128.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 67c | 126.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…d1ecbacked Yes | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…f6d6backed No | 25c | 121.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…04b3backed No | 31c | 115.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5007backed No | 14c | 110.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…089dbacked No | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…2600backed Yes | 79c | 109.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…f022backed Yes | 63c | 102.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…904ebacked No | 17c | 100.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…3f04backed Yes | 80c | 100.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…6589backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…4831backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…99fbbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4c23backed No | 28c | 99.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0d…b157backed No | 30c | 96.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…9644backed Yes | 63c | 93.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…d674backed Yes | 79c | 88.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…cbe1backed No | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked Yes | 77c | 87.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 34c | 80.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…6929backed Yes | 65c | 77.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 33c | 77.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…7a4ebacked Yes | 74c | 74.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…f214backed No | 26c | 71.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…ad06backed No | 48c | 70.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…e260backed No | 28c | 69.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?this page
- Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?No won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?No won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.