TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d02…6255

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3857.9%22 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.45
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.29
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$91.26
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$94.12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$19
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,412Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$436.72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$148.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$677.78
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.37
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$151.16
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.25
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$73.22
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$70.97
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$105.66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.36
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$88
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$62.37
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.1
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.99
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$14.6
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$35.35
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.19
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.36
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.6
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.11
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.25
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.05
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.79
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$292.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.9%+$47.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump dance during UFC 327?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$38.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$141.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$46.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.