World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9f34a7ca3d42d22d80c8376e15561d7e576887df246d2bcce3a774dfb26a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa527…4228backed Yes | 32c | 30,292$9,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,518.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 54c | 25,160$13,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,496.1 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 27c | 23,322$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,120.02 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked No | 73c | 13,818$10,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,059.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…ab64backed No | 71c | 9,845$6,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 68c | 9,144$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.89 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…7152backed Yes | 27c | 7,831$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 27c | 7,476$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 56c | 7,299$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.96 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 64c | 7,181$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.35 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…c733backed Yes | 32c | 7,175$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 30c | 6,881$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.03 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 53c | 5,666$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.34 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…245dbacked No | 72c | 5,639$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked No | 66c | 5,308$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.75 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 28c | 4,614$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.25 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 33c | 4,609$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.17 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…163abacked No | 73c | 4,042$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…c37abacked Yes | 25c | 3,706$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,527$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 60c | 3,472$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.53 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3295backed Yes | 20c | 3,380$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +169%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 68c | 3,200$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c12…7514backed Yes | 33c | 3,047$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…8174backed Yes | 31c | 2,981$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 74c | 2,900$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 2,847$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.54 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 32c | 2,815$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 66c | 2,630$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.17 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 27c | 2,472$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.54 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,399$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 66c | 2,387$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.67 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 45c | 2,228$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.59 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…728cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,203$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…e741backed No | 2c | 2,191$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4126backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…ce14backed Yes | 41c | 1,865$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 1,764$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…4ea1backed Yes | 29c | 1,752$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.05 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,672$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.92 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…2a16backed Yes | 37c | 1,514$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…6255backed No | 57c | 1,450$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed No | 77c | 1,306$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 31c | 1,250$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +443.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…ecebbacked No | 71c | 1,228$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…07e1backed No | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 44c | 1,166$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.55 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 72c | 1,111$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.23 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 70c | 1,109$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 70c | 1,103$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 70c | 1,060$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.36 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked No | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 68c | 999.99$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 68c | 999.29$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.19 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…2bcabacked Yes | 30c | 993.22$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 30c | 943$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.23 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…b94abacked No | 67c | 900$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 67c | 868.53$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.38 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab7…0569backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Yes | 34c | 861.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…c6e0backed No | 73c | 849.33$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 813.29$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.94 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 8c | 800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 30c | 767$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 30c | 735$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…5587backed Yes | 28c | 718.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 30c | 710$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5979…b24dbacked No | 75c | 706.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed No | 61c | 702.25$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fb…8649backed Yes | 34c | 693.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…0d6bbacked Yes | 44c | 692.33$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed No | 67c | 684.95$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 681.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed No | 73c | 677.83$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 16c | 664$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…bb7ebacked Yes | 30c | 645.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 34c | 624.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Yes | 51c | 616.97$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…1484backed Yes | 33c | 600.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 75c | 599.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…4355backed Yes | 28c | 594.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…a31bbacked Yes | 35c | 575.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 30c | 572$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 30c | 571$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc49…ab8dbacked Yes | 35c | 564.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…73f6backed No | 70c | 552.7$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…4927backed No | 57c | 550$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 70c | 536$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed No | 70c | 528$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.