World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9f75ad779414f35ed8cba39b336ff9d680b458076d086d575e7fdcd242dc82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $654,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9968…6e51backed Yes | 5c | 8,586$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…a5febacked Yes | 4c | 6,740$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdba…4d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,023$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…76ddbacked Yes | 4c | 4,370$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…dc64backed Yes | 9c | 4,203$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…2a18backed Yes | 9c | 3,385$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…e41abacked Yes | 8c | 3,380$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa866…66d2backed Yes | 5c | 3,146$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…6717backed Yes | 3c | 3,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…79e4backed Yes | 7c | 2,972$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…dd33backed Yes | 5c | 2,883$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…cf7abacked Yes | 5c | 2,789$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…af0cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,643$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…658cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,639$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…087bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,638$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…56ecbacked Yes | 4c | 2,552$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…64b4backed Yes | 9c | 2,487$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd171…fba5backed Yes | 9c | 2,456$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…0d86backed Yes | 5c | 2,455$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2234backed Yes | 8c | 2,288$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…0964backed Yes | 4c | 2,263$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…e623backed Yes | 5c | 2,177$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…d42cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,163$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ac…5bc0backed Yes | 9c | 2,120$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…c40cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,100$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…b171backed Yes | 6c | 2,084$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…4f2bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,062$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…ab7bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,062$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…054ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,056$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…59b1backed Yes | 5c | 1,966$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaf…5417backed Yes | 6c | 1,953$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…75bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,886$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…332ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,863$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19debacked Yes | 6c | 1,848$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…b5f2backed Yes | 5c | 1,833$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…3decbacked Yes | 4c | 1,810$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…1dd8backed Yes | 5c | 1,793$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc191…b3e6backed Yes | 6c | 1,782$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…e3b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,743$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9b…e95ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,728$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…cd78backed Yes | 4c | 1,721$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd845…1ce2backed Yes | 6c | 1,698$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…df54backed Yes | 4c | 1,674$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…7e3bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,668$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…8f83backed Yes | 6c | 1,645$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…fdb7backed Yes | 9c | 1,639$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…7accbacked Yes | 9c | 1,621$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf145…8fdabacked Yes | 4c | 1,614$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…f08cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,603$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…ac65backed Yes | 9c | 1,566$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…1d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,549$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…7c5abacked Yes | 6c | 1,548$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b7…3045backed Yes | 6c | 1,529$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…44a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,522$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…345dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,499$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28a…e3dcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,497$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…2cfbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,490$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8291…fb45backed Yes | 6c | 1,479$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,468$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc854…138cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,467$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…1e02backed Yes | 6c | 1,450$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…91b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,445$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,430$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…e907backed Yes | 5c | 1,412$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…4d47backed Yes | 4c | 1,410$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4e…dfb3backed Yes | 4c | 1,388$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…e58cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,381$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…9de7backed Yes | 5c | 1,377$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…b217backed Yes | 6c | 1,333$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…1ab3backed Yes | 6c | 1,324$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…13b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,310$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…a1c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,285$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…cb44backed Yes | 9c | 1,283$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…308cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,259$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…580ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,238$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…803dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,227$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…0693backed Yes | 4c | 1,225$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…d160backed Yes | 5c | 1,215$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…9da9backed Yes | 6c | 1,214$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…9fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,181$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…716ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,172$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…8dbdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…4c2dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,169$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…1912backed Yes | 3c | 1,161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…9130backed Yes | 5c | 1,159$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…4bccbacked Yes | 6c | 1,155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…3b2abacked Yes | 6c | 1,154$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…f29dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…479dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…f890backed Yes | 4c | 1,130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…7552backed Yes | 7c | 1,129$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…984ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,128$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…23dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…b3e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…9efdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,102$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…6895backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e5…267dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,094$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…ee60backed Yes | 7c | 1,092$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ca…c87ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,080$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…10eebacked Yes | 9c | 1,077$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes won
- Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.