World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb951bbdbb2bbc31803745656c98fb1cf0c0d4243c2650418e0f452ce35aae7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28a…e3dcbacked Yes | 6c | 6,834$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…09d8backed Yes | 3c | 6,629$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…1151backed Yes | 6c | 2,849$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…f623backed Yes | 4c | 2,799$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…158abacked Yes | 3c | 2,711$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe269…429dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,278$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…6ec1backed Yes | 3c | 2,202$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…41bfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,081$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…a00bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,025$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…78d4backed Yes | 6c | 1,961$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…dfa3backed Yes | 6c | 1,853$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…bc2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,645$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab02…0ab4backed Yes | 3c | 1,473$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…eb04backed Yes | 3c | 1,395$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…438fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cf…db68backed Yes | 3c | 1,343$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…b633backed Yes | 3c | 1,339$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…38adbacked Yes | 4c | 1,338$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…48f2backed Yes | 3c | 1,302$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…012bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,296$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…b18ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,251$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…0474backed Yes | 3c | 1,239$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…9ac2backed Yes | 3c | 1,232$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e850backed Yes | 9c | 1,230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a6…c250backed Yes | 3c | 1,189$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…6f5fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,182$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…6271backed Yes | 3c | 1,182$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…b171backed Yes | 3c | 1,180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…d63abacked Yes | 3c | 1,177$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…da2abacked Yes | 3c | 1,161$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…364bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,156$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b366backed Yes | 3c | 1,140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…e0f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,135$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…f8b1backed Yes | 4c | 1,119$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…7b40backed Yes | 3c | 1,087$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…4f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,076$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…b74abacked Yes | 3c | 1,055$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…83efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,018$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…2e2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,016$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…942cbacked Yes | 3c | 958$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…7c14backed Yes | 3c | 953$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…07bcbacked Yes | 4c | 952$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 3c | 947.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…949abacked Yes | 3c | 911$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…2f05backed Yes | 3c | 890$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…cbf8backed Yes | 3c | 862$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…728ebacked Yes | 3c | 799$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…9692backed Yes | 3c | 792$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…970abacked Yes | 3c | 789$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…2e71backed Yes | 3c | 774$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…6a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 768$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef4…38e2backed Yes | 3c | 752$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…cd9ebacked Yes | 3c | 746$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…74f2backed Yes | 4c | 722$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…0f67backed Yes | 4c | 712$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 3c | 669.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…1d90backed Yes | 5c | 660$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc373…42d0backed Yes | 3c | 640$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…3c65backed Yes | 5c | 629$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…c954backed Yes | 3c | 620$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…e7f3backed Yes | 5c | 610$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…b760backed Yes | 3c | 604$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…1c9bbacked Yes | 5c | 579$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…12b7backed Yes | 3c | 577$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…6ab0backed Yes | 3c | 569$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +449.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…6a8abacked Yes | 7c | 559.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…4857backed Yes | 5c | 558$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…cdf6backed Yes | 3c | 553$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…5d12backed Yes | 3c | 548$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yes | 6c | 540.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b80…481abacked Yes | 3c | 536$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…a4a8backed Yes | 3c | 529$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…e116backed Yes | 2c | 519$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…4e2dbacked Yes | 3c | 512$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…37c8backed Yes | 3c | 499$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…0be2backed Yes | 3c | 495$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…9a65backed Yes | 3c | 494$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…4aedbacked Yes | 2c | 485$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…0ed2backed Yes | 3c | 481$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…c28dbacked Yes | 2c | 474$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 5c | 473.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…9d30backed Yes | 3c | 447$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…2335backed Yes | 3c | 442$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…a325backed Yes | 4c | 438$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…b25abacked Yes | 2c | 438$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…6c9abacked Yes | 3c | 430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…a070backed Yes | 2c | 421$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…ec02backed Yes | 3c | 418$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 410.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…0fdfbacked Yes | 4c | 387.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…42eebacked Yes | 3c | 380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…28c2backed Yes | 3c | 377$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…eb3dbacked Yes | 3c | 366$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 3c | 363.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…3dcfbacked Yes | 3c | 361$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe68…4cbdbacked Yes | 3c | 349$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…7adfbacked Yes | 3c | 339$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…f64cbacked Yes | 3c | 339$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…66a7backed Yes | 3c | 324$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 310.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes won
- Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.