World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecd44689018299e5bb500c12796b6bc0c279086b15623c358fa2a9aa1cbf4d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4d…4b3fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 17c | 1,937$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 23c | 1,920$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,332$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 1,309$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…bb7ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,126$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…d8c5backed Yes | 23c | 851$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 77c | 845$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 77c | 807$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 23c | 801$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked Yes | 5c | 778.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52fb…8649backed Yes | 22c | 741.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…f2b8backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 37c | 697$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 63c | 697$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 22c | 614.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 20c | 606.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…c733backed Yes | 32c | 596.24$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 23c | 586.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…c518backed Yes | 32c | 564.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…8c5abacked Yes | 24c | 532.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 78c | 499.97$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 21c | 497.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed Yes | 27c | 487.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…54c1backed Yes | 2c | 487.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…e4b1backed Yes | 21c | 473.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 69c | 454.81$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…1484backed Yes | 25c | 451.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 20c | 447$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…9713backed Yes | 49c | 408.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 16c | 399.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 391.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…a614backed Yes | 21c | 353.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…87d1backed Yes | 24c | 345.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4126backed Yes | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…58a4backed Yes | 19c | 295.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 17c | 286.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 251.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Yes | 20c | 244.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…fdbbbacked Yes | 25c | 244$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…058dbacked Yes | 20c | 199.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…1c45backed Yes | 31c | 162.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 17c | 157.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 151.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 75c | 144$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 12c | 126$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 80c | 122.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 18c | 120.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 111.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 25c | 108.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 11c | 108.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…3feabacked Yes | 21c | 106.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc492…11c1backed Yes | 20c | 105.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…e4a8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…fb19backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed No | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…ae3abacked Yes | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2919…8006backed Yes | 27c | 93.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…035abacked Yes | 12c | 92.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 82.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 19c | 79.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…11f0backed Yes | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 40cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 72.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0a…265bbacked Yes | 25c | 69.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…548dbacked Yes | 39c | 62.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…556dbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked Yes | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5864…76b9backed Yes | 18c | 55.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 73c | 54.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…3adcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…cfcdbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…99f9backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…c01cbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 43.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 76c | 41.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6457backed Yes | 32c | 40.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6dd8backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…08b3backed Yes | 33c | 32.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 69c | 31.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked No | 75c | 28.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 80c | 18.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 74c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 73c | 16.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes won
- Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.