World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113fff39c8c2fdd269b189434d84fc9fa93199c322b39d899c41e668139dd3a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28a…e3dcbacked Yes | 7c | 5,534$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…745dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,478$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…2da8backed Yes | 5c | 3,438$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…580ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,979$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…fcf7backed Yes | 10c | 2,954$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…fc3cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,796$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…bf88backed Yes | 8c | 2,584$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…6502backed Yes | 6c | 2,452$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…70aebacked Yes | 5c | 2,375$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…ec02backed Yes | 4c | 2,358$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…b711backed Yes | 6c | 2,335$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…42e0backed Yes | 7c | 2,265$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6e57backed Yes | 4c | 2,166$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…fd1ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,153$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0985…f3f8backed Yes | 5c | 2,102$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…c40abacked Yes | 7c | 2,098$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…2815backed Yes | 6c | 2,094$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…2e54backed Yes | 6c | 2,055$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…851dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,004$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…7060backed Yes | 6c | 1,952$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +233.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…79a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,924$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…c0f1backed Yes | 4c | 1,850$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb0…25c4backed Yes | 4c | 1,804$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…813abacked Yes | 6c | 1,748$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca54…8f1fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,668$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…d248backed Yes | 5c | 1,667$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…3181backed Yes | 5c | 1,663$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…8e7cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,654$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…0407backed Yes | 5c | 1,621$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…77d3backed Yes | 8c | 1,579$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…07bcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,557$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…1a9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,554$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d4…0f99backed Yes | 8c | 1,547$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…6c38backed Yes | 5c | 1,546$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…506fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,533$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…b7c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,524$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…6eadbacked Yes | 5c | 1,502$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…666fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,495$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…9096backed Yes | 5c | 1,495$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…a662backed Yes | 5c | 1,486$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…f725backed Yes | 7c | 1,483$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…1c21backed Yes | 5c | 1,481$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b1…8dfabacked Yes | 6c | 1,476$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…7211backed Yes | 9c | 1,456$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c0…80e0backed Yes | 5c | 1,410$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…ab68backed Yes | 6c | 1,384$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…c39cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,379$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1b84backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2017…968cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,338$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…4857backed Yes | 8c | 1,330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…515bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,323$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44a…d611backed Yes | 9c | 1,323$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…e9c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,307$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…4a1abacked Yes | 6c | 1,292$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e850backed Yes | 12c | 1,253$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…c6ecbacked Yes | 5c | 1,235$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…ae21backed Yes | 6c | 1,220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…1d69backed Yes | 5c | 1,201$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…e5dfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,185$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…dc64backed Yes | 6c | 1,166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…6e1fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,097$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…539dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,086$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…45b7backed Yes | 6c | 1,081$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c99…8260backed Yes | 6c | 1,080$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…1c9bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,069$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…9d30backed Yes | 5c | 1,031$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…e116backed Yes | 4c | 1,028$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…438fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,015$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d54…b00dbacked Yes | 6c | 997$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…af57backed Yes | 7c | 997$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…dff3backed Yes | 6c | 984$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…d9e0backed Yes | 4c | 968$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…138bbacked Yes | 6c | 968$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…304fbacked Yes | 5c | 960$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…f8f7backed Yes | 5c | 954$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…4fd2backed Yes | 5c | 940$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…57e8backed Yes | 6c | 934$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…af5abacked Yes | 5c | 930$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…212fbacked Yes | 5c | 891$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…d964backed Yes | 4c | 891$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…2337backed Yes | 5c | 888$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…8790backed Yes | 5c | 882$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…af57backed Yes | 5c | 880$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…b633backed Yes | 5c | 865$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…3dcabacked Yes | 5c | 847$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…6dbfbacked Yes | 7c | 831$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…9c7abacked Yes | 8c | 827$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…e41abacked Yes | 6c | 826$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…3c6dbacked Yes | 4c | 811$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe861…e822backed Yes | 5c | 790$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…93a4backed Yes | 4c | 784$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…8a04backed Yes | 6c | 780$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…5965backed Yes | 5c | 777.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…e307backed Yes | 5c | 747$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…addebacked Yes | 5c | 747$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…6f5fbacked Yes | 9c | 741.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8197…d4ecbacked Yes | 5c | 739$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…2f3dbacked Yes | 5c | 729$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…b0bfbacked Yes | 5c | 726$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…7833backed Yes | 5c | 712$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?this page
- Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Yes won
- Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
- Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.