Middle East · resolved market
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe352d7b022b4913faece8da53efd363a430a25d9913d6db8bef968a2e1f6be15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 1c | 18,045$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed No | 8c | 9,681$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 65c | 7,612$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.6 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked Yes | 78c | 6,047$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.11 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 68c | 5,768$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed No | 20c | 4,259$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.64 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked No | 10c | 3,600$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.12 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 0c | 3,532$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 43c | 3,420$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 51c | 2,934$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed No | 11c | 2,235$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 68c | 2,004$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.55 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 43c | 1,671$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.68 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…40a3backed No | 47c | 1,602$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 1,593$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.07 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 47c | 1,500$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…ddfcbacked No | 16c | 1,494$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 42c | 1,472$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.53 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 32c | 1,272$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.08 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…4eeebacked No | 16c | 1,253$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +588.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed No | 12c | 1,060$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Yes | 64c | 1,049$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.03 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…f2a9backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.87 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 77c | 955$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.28 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 26c | 773.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 72c | 763.25$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed Yes | 52c | 730.83$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.09 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked Yes | 72c | 700$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -11.4wins | -0.20per pick | 67cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 44c | 690$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.18 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 36c | 687.9$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.26 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…5203backed Yes | 63c | 652.47$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 46c | 626.78$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 14c | 555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed No | 58c | 489$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.51 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes | 47c | 457.86$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.26 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 62c | 440.1$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 14c | 430.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed Yes | 26c | 418.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 14c | 410$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…6255backed Yes | 77c | 408.88$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 71c | 388$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…acafbacked Yes | 27c | 372.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 54c | 370$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2e06backed Yes | 44c | 350$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 16c | 350$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 342.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 57c | 336.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…b293backed No | 15c | 331.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 32c | 313.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…2d2cbacked Yes | 37c | 310.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +412.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 66c | 282.7$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 58c | 275.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 55c | 273.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 21c | 264.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4883backed Yes | 78c | 255.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes | 63c | 251$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 31c | 229.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 60c | 225.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed Yes | 45c | 209.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 200.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…8ab9backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…3fbfbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…26eabacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d034backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacc…2eacbacked No | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 59c | 185.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed No | 27c | 183.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…9404backed No | 37c | 180.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 73c | 153.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 79c | 151.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…a69cbacked No | 31c | 146.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 79c | 137$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 29c | 135.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 135.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…6b27backed Yes | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091f…9dffbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 61c | 119.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed No | 65c | 119.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 70c | 112.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 55c | 107.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 27c | 100.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6d86backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +20.7wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed No | 23c | 93.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4f…a849backed No | 27c | 81.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 26c | 79.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 26c | 78.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…cdc2backed No | 59c | 68.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?this page
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.